Markets/Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 07:37 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2027

Polymarket Price

4%YES

96%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$145K

Bid / Ask

4% / 4%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

3% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 4%99%

Buy YES@ 4¢

-2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 96¢

Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.4%

½ Kelly1.2%

Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1357380

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