Markets/Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 06:37 AM UTC

Closes September 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES

91%NO

Volume 24h

$324K

Liquidity

$22K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

Edge

+3.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 91¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $324K has been traded. The market closes on September 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1130015

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