Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 06:34 AM UTC

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

97%YES

3%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$22K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+1.4pp

confidence40%

methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

91% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

96% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 97%99%

Buy YES@ 97¢

Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly10.4%

½ Kelly5.2%

Buy NO@ 3¢

-10.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 10.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21?" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1588566

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