Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 29?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 29?

Data as of Mar 28, 2026, 04:10 AM UTC

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES

99%NO

Volume 24h

$322

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp

confidence40%

methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-29.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Trough probability

11% YES — lowest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

15%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: -42.0pp

55% → 13%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

21% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 29?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $322 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683302