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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 21?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 21?

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$24K

Liquidity

$47K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 21?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 21?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1588573