Markets/Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 06:37 AM UTC

Closes November 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

13%YES

87%NO

Volume 24h

$41K

Liquidity

$13K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

12% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

14% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 20, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 13%99%

Buy YES@ 13¢

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Buy NO@ 87¢

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Backtest Strategy

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50%

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $41K has been traded. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/907686

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