ForecastMind
Markets/Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Share on X

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Closes May 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

26%YES
74%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

24% / 26%

Spread

2.20pp

Expert Signal

26%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

28% YES

Mar 17, 2026

Current

28% YES (+0.2pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 26%99%
Buy YES@ 26¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 74¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 2.20 percentage points. The market closes on May 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/572847