Markets/Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?

Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 09:22 PM UTC

Polymarket Price

16%YES

84%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$155

Bid / Ask

11% / 21%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

16% YES

Mar 9, 2026

Current

14% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 16%99%

Buy YES@ 16¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 84¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1124310

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