Markets/Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 12:22 PM UTC

Closes June 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES

97%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 10, 2026

Current

4% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 3%99%

Buy YES@ 3¢

-7.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢

Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly7.7%

½ Kelly3.8%

Buy NO—+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 7.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on June 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087772