Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Closes June 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
79% / 82%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
80%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province…
2026
22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
79% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Current
80% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?" at 81% YES / 19% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 81%, NO 19%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/687276
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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