Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian…
Consensus Probability
46%
Weak19%
Polymarket14% avg · 7 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 71% | $8K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 7% | $2K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 19% | $2K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 1% | $344 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 2% | $257 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0% | $202 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0% | $202 | standalone |