ForecastMind

Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

2026

Consensus Probability

44%
Weak8%
Polymarket14% avg · 29 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?100%$140Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$121Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?0%$48Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?100%$35Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$9Kstandalone
PolymarketWill César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?82%$7Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election6%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?6%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Alexandre Dupalais win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?2%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election81%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?13%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election13%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Óscar Sogliano win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?5%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jhonny Plata win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?6%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Iván Arias win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?3%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Georges Képénékian win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?0%$1Kstandalone
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Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election — 44% Consensus | ForecastMind