Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election…
2026
Consensus Probability
12%
Weak28%
Polymarket6% avg · 8 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 25% | $4K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 2% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 8% | $1K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 3% | $185 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 2% | $126 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 2% | $81 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 6% | $60 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 3% | $51 | standalone |