Will the Republican Party control the House after the…
2026
Consensus Probability
49%
Moderate55%
Polymarket50% avg · 4 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. Some spread between venues — treat as directional signal.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 48% | $34K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 53% | $26K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 16% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 85% | $2K | standalone |