Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Consensus Probability
6%
Weak5%
Polymarket14% avg · 7 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election? | 0% | $1.5M | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | 20% | $156K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | 80% | $96K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | 0% | $90K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | 0% | $79K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election? | 0% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election? | 0% | $2K | standalone |