Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Consensus Probability
32%
Weak0%
Polymarket33% avg · 3 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | 18% | $84K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | 83% | $35K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | 0% | $16K | standalone |