Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
1 venues tracked+2.3pp in 24h
25
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity20/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum5/15
Total Intel Score25/100
Linked News
Middle East crisis live: Trump considering ‘winding down’ war as US eases sanctions on Iranian oil; Israel launches retaliatory strikes
The Guardian2d ago
Switzerland halts weapons exports to US due to Iran war, citing neutrality
Reddit WorldNews2d ago
Stocks tumble Friday as losses mount from Iran war impact, Dow and Nasdaq near correction: Live updates
CNBC Top News2d ago
US stock markets dip for fourth straight week over US-Israel war on Iran
The Guardian2d ago
Canonical ID: 3cb0d7c5-e7bc-47e8-9071-47573eccded8
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