ForecastMind
PolymarketPredictIt

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

2 venues tracked
15
LowIntel Score

Live Venue Consensus

VenueYES %vs Poly

Polymarket

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

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PredictIt

How many Senate seats will the GOP control after the 2026 midterms? — 47 or fewer

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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)

Signal Strength

Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events15/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score15/100

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Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

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Contradicts

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

6%
Contradicts

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

14%
Contradicts

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

18%
Contradicts

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

2%
Contradicts

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

11%

Canonical ID: 7db1f59f-e8c6-4b23-bf8a-50e2a4571b74

Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.

Methodology →
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — Event Intelligence