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Tarcisio de Freitas

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Markets

16% YES

Avg Consensus

$12.3M

24h Volume

Active Signals

◎ Expert disagreement

Markets (15)

politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

100%$2.9M

politics

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

0%$1.7M

politics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

2%$751K

politics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

1%$714K

politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

100%$649K

politics

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%$626K

politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

99%$595K

politics

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1%$458K

politics

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

4%$450K

politics

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%$440K

politics

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

3%$434K

politics

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%$433K

politics

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2%$333K

politics

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2%$330K

politics

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%$318K

Active Signals

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56.8ppexpert gap

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Market prices lower than multi-venue consensus

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Politics Topic

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