Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Closes July 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$345
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
22% / 25%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2026
47 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $345 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088106
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