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Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Closes July 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$335

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+81.8pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

2026

Full event →
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
24%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
16%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
16%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
14%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
6%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
5%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
3%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
1%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%
the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
0%

47 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $335 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088130