Markets/Epic Games IPO before 2027?

Epic Games IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 03:16 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

26%YES

75%NO

Volume 24h

$892

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

23% / 28%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

26%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-17.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Feb 25, 2026

Trough probability

20% YES — lowest in period

Feb 28, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

41%

Feb 25, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

45%

Mar 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

36%

Mar 4, 2026

Biggest move: +27.5pp

28% → 56%

Mar 3, 2026

Peak probability

65% YES — highest in period

Feb 25, 2026

Current

39% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 26%99%

Buy YES@ 26¢

Edge

+2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 75¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+2.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Epic Games IPO before 2027?" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $892 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Epic Games IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1321867