Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Closed March 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$124
Liquidity
$225
Bid / Ask
69% / 92%
Spread
23.00pp
Expert Signal
80%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state…
2026
21 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?" at 80% YES / 20% NO. In the last 24 hours, $124 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 23.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 80%, NO 20%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1501176
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