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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and…

March

Full event →
between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?
100%
between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?
38%
between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?
31%
between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?
18%
between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?
3%
between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 23?
1%
between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 23?
0%
between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 22?
0%
between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 22?
0%
between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 22?
0%
between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22?
0%
between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 22?
0%
between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 22?
0%
between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 23?
0%
between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 22?
0%

15 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-0.2pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607594

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