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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 07:15 PM UTC

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

19%YES

82%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

16% / 17%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

19%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 22?

March

between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?

between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?

between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?

$70,000 on March 22?

between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?

19%

between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?

between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 23?

between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 23?

between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 22?

between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 22?

between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 22?

between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22?

between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 22?

between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 22?

14 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Price History

+2.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

%

1%Market: YES 19%99%

Buy YES@ 19¢

Edge

+2.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 82¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+2.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607592

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Forecaster Signals

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Venue Divergence

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Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.

Event Cluster

All markets about the same event across venues.

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