Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 23?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 23?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 08:12 AM UTC

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

15%YES

85%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

14% / 17%

Spread

3.70pp

Expert Signal

15%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?

March

Full event →

above $1,800 on March 23?

100%

above $1,900 on March 23?

98%

above $2,000 on March 23?

83%

between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 23?

67%

above $2,100 on March 23?

19%

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 23?

15%

above $2,200 on March 23?

above $2,300 on March 23?

above $2,400 on March 23?

above $2,500 on March 23?

above $2,600 on March 23?

above $2,700 on March 23?

above $2,800 on March 23?

13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-2.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

20% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Trough probability

11% YES — lowest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +14.8pp

12% → 26%

Mar 23, 2026

Peak probability

26% YES — highest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Current

17% YES (-9.2pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 15%99%

Buy YES@ 15¢

Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%

½ Kelly0.1%

Buy NO@ 85¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 23?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 3.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607682

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.