ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Grizzlies vs. Hawks
Share on X

Grizzlies vs. Hawks

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$1.2M

Liquidity

$53K

Bid / Ask

8% / 9%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-6.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

12% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -6.5pp

12% → 6%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

6% YES (-6.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢
Edge

+15.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 97¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+15.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Grizzlies vs. Hawks" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Grizzlies vs. Hawks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1627600