ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5
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Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

34%YES
67%NO

Volume 24h

$210K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

23% / 28%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Grizzlies vs. Hawks

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-21.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -17.5pp

48% → 31%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

31% YES (-17.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 34%99%
Buy YES@ 34¢
Edge

+1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 67¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $210K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687185