Markets/1H Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

1H Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 09:16 PM UTC

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES

56%NO

Volume 24h

$212

Liquidity

$41K

Bid / Ask

43% / 46%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

Full event →

Spread: Knicks (-18.5)

61%

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

57%

Spread: Knicks (-20.5)

54%

Spread: Knicks (-21.5)

51%

1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

51%

1H Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

45%

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 45%99%

Buy YES@ 45¢

Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 55¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "1H Spread: Knicks (-13.5)" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $212 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "1H Spread: Knicks (-13.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677308

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