Markets/1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 10:42 PM UTC

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES

49%NO

Volume 24h

$297

Liquidity

$42K

Bid / Ask

49% / 53%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

Full event →

Spread: Knicks (-18.5)

61%

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

59%

Spread: Knicks (-20.5)

55%

Spread: Knicks (-21.5)

52%

1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

51%

1H Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

46%

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 51%99%

Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $297 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1681789

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