ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?
Share on X

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

97%YES
3%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

97% / 97%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

97%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

96% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

97% YES (+1.2pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 97%99%
Buy YES@ 97¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 3¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683424