Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
99% / 100%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham…
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
75% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: +25.5pp
75% → 100%
Mar 23, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Current
100% YES (-0.4pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687045
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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