Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
94% / 98%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
84%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham…
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 84%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687111
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Venue Divergence
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