Spread: Raptors (-12.5)
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$485K
Liquidity
$215K
Bid / Ask
40% / 41%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Trough probability
40% YES — lowest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Current
40% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Raptors (-12.5)" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $485K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spread: Raptors (-12.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687188
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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