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Markets/Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5
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Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

40%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

37% / 43%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

42%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+22.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

18% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +20.0pp

23% → 43%

Mar 23, 2026

Peak probability

43% YES — highest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Current

40% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 40%99%
Buy YES@ 40¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 60¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688082