ForecastMind
Markets/Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Share on X

Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

37% / 44%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Drake Powell: Points O/U 8.5

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

39% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 60¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688091