ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5
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Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

76%YES
24%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$17

Bid / Ask

53% / 58%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

56%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+22.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

29% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Trough probability

18% YES — lowest in period

Mar 24, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 24, 2026

Biggest move: +31.0pp

21% → 52%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

52% YES (+31.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 76%99%
Buy YES@ 76¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 24¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688595