ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5
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Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

4% / 98%

Spread

94.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

22% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -13.0pp

42% → 29%

Mar 24, 2026

Peak probability

42% YES — highest in period

Mar 24, 2026

Current

29% YES (-13.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 94.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688605