ForecastMind
Markets/Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5
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Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

57%YES
43%NO

Volume 24h

$493

Liquidity

$41K

Bid / Ask

55% / 60%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

57%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 57%99%
Buy YES@ 57¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 43¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $493 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691537