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Markets/Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

68%YES
33%NO

Volume 24h

$44K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

76% / 77%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

68%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Full event →
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One
100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL On
100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingh
100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) -
81%
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - E
71%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Bi
68%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) -
50%
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO2) - E
50%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO
50%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL
0%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Bi
0%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL On
0%

12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 68%99%
Buy YES@ 68¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.5%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 32¢

-1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B" at 68% YES / 32% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 68%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 68%, NO 32%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696665

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