Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
Closes March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$54K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
54% / 61%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
71%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $54K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696691
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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