Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 24?
Closes March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$57K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
31% / 33%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
March
26 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Trough probability
6% YES — lowest in period
Mar 24, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
22%
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: -29.0pp
51% → 22%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
20% YES (+11.0pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 24?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $57K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1698813
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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