Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
Closes March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$89K
Liquidity
$200K
Bid / Ask
44% / 47%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 25, 2026
Current
46% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Lakers (-9.5)" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $89K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Spread: Lakers (-9.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718352
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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