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Markets/Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
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Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

90%YES
11%NO

Volume 24h

$706

Liquidity

$45K

Bid / Ask

89% / 90%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

90%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5" at 90% YES / 10% NO. In the last 24 hours, $706 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 90%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 90%, NO 10%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718886

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5: 90%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5: 73%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Te: 71%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 90%99%
Buy YES@ 90¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO@ 10¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this