Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$553K
Liquidity
$291K
Bid / Ask
51% / 52%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
52%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $553K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718888
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5: 90%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5: 73%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Te: 71%.
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
53% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this