Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$113K
Bid / Ask
72% / 73%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
73%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718887
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5: 90%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5: 73%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Te: 71%.
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
70% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
72% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this