Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$106K
Bid / Ask
31% / 32%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
32%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718889
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5: 90%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5: 73%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Te: 71%.
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
32% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this