ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
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Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

76%YES
24%NO

Volume 24h

$27K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

40% / 42%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

76%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+33.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

42% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

75%

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +34.5pp

41% → 75%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

75% YES (+34.5pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 76%99%
Buy YES@ 76¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 24¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738624