ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5
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Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

81%YES
20%NO

Volume 24h

$23K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

72% / 90%

Spread

18.00pp

Expert Signal

81%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+35.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

42% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

77%

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +33.5pp

44% → 77%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

77% YES (+33.5pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 81%99%
Buy YES@ 81¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.6%
½ Kelly1.3%
Buy NO@ 19¢

-2.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5" at 81% YES / 19% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 81%. The bid-ask spread is 18.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 81%, NO 19%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1739284