Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$36K
Bid / Ask
14% / 17%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
35%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786325
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 71%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?: 36%, Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 25%.
Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
15% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
27%
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -40.5pp
67% → 27%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
37% YES (-7.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this